Financial Biases of Sports Gamblers

Financial Biases of Sports Gamblers

People tend to overestimate their wins and underestimate their losses. As such, the self-report data analysis method can hold certain biases when asking players how much they lost on sports gambling. As it appears, players tend to be more or less accurate within one month period. Yet, the losses and wins track tend to be poorer in the longer time frame. Players who lose higher amounts, as well as players who play more frequently happen to be in danger of not realizing their actual losses. Besides, neither age nor gender plays a significant role in tracking own gambling expenditures.

Authors of this review:

Nikita Goncharenko

Date of Publication:

11/09/2022

Academic Reference:

Griffiths, Mark & Auer, Michael. (2017). Self-Reported Losses Versus Actual Losses in Online Gambling: An Empirical Study. Journal of Gambling Studies. 33.

Tags:sports gamblingdata analytics

Key Ideas

When answering the question "how much do you spend gambling?", gamblers tend to provide inaccurate answers. Players are more accurate in estimating short-term performance but less accurate when measuring their long-term betting results. As a matter of fact, highly involved players would be less accurate when measuring their own performance than less engaged ones.

When analyzing gambling behavior, it could be a good practice to segment players based on gender, age, and gambling type, as behavior can significantly differ between these groups.

The degree of bias, for example, can be different depending on the gambling type (e.g. fast-pace live-betting vs season-winner bets).

Gender and age did not seem to have a big impact on gambling cost estimation bias. Yet, these could be useful when aiming at foreseeing problem gambling.

In general, most gamblers are capable of estimating if they won/lost after one month of betting. However, gamblers with higher losses seem to experience difficulty estimating their actual expenditures. In addition, frequent players also appeared to have trouble accurately measuring their own gambling outcomes.

A limitation of this study: the participation in this study was promoted on the gambling provider's website and the sample could have been over-represented by players who intensively visit the website. In other words, participants could have appeared to be part of frequent players in the risk group.

Citations

Interesting fact: "gambling is one of the few consumptive (and potentially addictive) behaviors that can be objectively tracked."

"Players systematically underestimate their losses or overestimate their wins."

"caution is warranted when using self-report data relating to amount of money spent gambling in any studies that are totally reliant on self-report data."

External References